Simply Elementary Watson

I've heard the arrows of words flying back and forth over the NIE report that Iran halted (not abandoned) their nuclear weapons goals. The only winner in this is the Islamic Nation of Iran. Consider the simple logic others seem to miss:

IF Iran halted their nuclear weapons program in 2003

AND it took the "intelligence" community 4 YEARS to determine this

THEREFORE Iran could very well have restarted their nuclear weapons goals and it won't be for another 4 YEARS before the "intelligence" community is even aware.

Ahmadinejad has a couple of choices:

1. Do what North Korea did and test a minor fission explosion - therefore confirming to the world his intents
   
   
2. Make a couple of bombs and detonate 1 to try and scare the world - therefore confirming to the world his intents
   
   
3. Work on making as much high-grade fissionable material so many many nuclear weapons can be assembled before the world catches on
   

I know how to make a nuclear weapon - it's rather easy, especially using the "gun method" to obtain critical mass. The most difficult problem is obtaining high-grade fissionable material. Once you have a source of fissionable material it's just a matter of assembly.

The easiest nuke was dropped on Hiroshima, just 60 kg of 80% U-235. It was so ineffective that only 0.7 kg (about a pound and a half) underwent nuclear fission. Ahmadinejad is busy producing much higher grade material - "for peaceful purposes".

...the United States and the Zionist regime of Israel will soon come to the end of their lives

Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, during meeting with Syria's foreign minister, Jan. 2007